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News · Bitcoin

Bitcoin Breaks Below $77,700 Trader Cost Basis as Short-Term Losses Mount

Onchain data from CryptoQuant shows recent buyers are underwater, threatening to flip $77,700 into resistance as spot prices test the $75,832 short-term holder line.

▼ Bearish$BTC $77,132 −0.9%
November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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Key point 1 of 3

01

Bitcoin fell below the $77,700 cost basis of one-to-three-month buyers, turning the previous support level into potential overhead resistance.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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Key point 2 of 3

02

CryptoQuant data shows the nearest lower profit-and-loss band sits at $68,400, representing a 12% aggregate net loss for recent entrants.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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Key point 3 of 3

03

Short-term holders who bought within the past 155 days hold an aggregate realized price of $75,832, narrowly above spot market levels.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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Context

Bitcoin had traded above the average cost basis of one-to-three-month speculative buyers continuously since Aug. 19.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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Why it matters

Speculative traders and short-term holders face mounting unrealized losses, increasing the probability of breakeven selling pressure if spot prices retrace toward $77,700.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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What to watch

Market defense of the $75,832 short-term holder cost basis and whether the cohort's MVRV ratio breaches the 1.00 breakeven line toward 0.85.

November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
BasisDesk

Sources

Built from 1 primary source, machine-checked before publication.

  • cointelegraph.com
November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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November 3, 2026basisdesk.news
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